Thursday, June 21, 2012

Nifty Elliott Wave analysis for 21-06-2012


So far the rise from 5041 does not appear like an impulse in 5 min chart nor in hourly chart. Hence sticking to the wave label for correction and 5141.60 achieved today as the end of wave ‘b’ of this correction. If wave ‘b’ has concluded then the down move should be impulse in the C down and we should see the behavior very soon.  If it continues to show lack of strength in this down move then we need to re look into the wave labels. It might indicate that the low achieved at 5041 could have completed the ‘B’ and ‘C’ up has started as shown in the alternate wave count yesterday.

I’m still believing that  near 5141 is the end of ‘b’ , bcz wave ‘a’ was very quick and to compensate the time ‘b’ took long time and hence had many sub-divisions. Though counting wave ‘b’ is one of the toughest things in the complete wave analysis.

Bullish view – if Market stays and moves past 5160 then the ‘c’ up has begun with a target of (5144-4770=374) 5042+374 = 5416 if a=c equality.

Bearish view -  if market moves down below 5077/5058 in an impulsive manner then it can target (5189.4-5041.8 = 147.6), 5141.6+147.6 = 4994. This will be pretty close to the 50% of the rise from 4770 to 5189.4 at 4980. At any stage moving beyond 5160 negates this view. Preferably it should stay within 5133-5141.6 range. 

Nifty 5 min Chart:

Nifty hourly chart:

Nifty pivot table:

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