Thursday, June 28, 2012

Nifty Elliott Wave analysis for 28-06-2012

Nifty
Nifty has spent good amount of time in the second wave considering the swift move of wave 1. It appears like the undercurrent for the upmove is so much that the wave 2 was a flat correction retracing only 24% as part of the ‘a’ which is a double zigzag. Next move up started unfolding like a zigzag again and moved beyond the origin of wave ‘a’, actually reaching 106.84% of wave ‘a’. This indicated that the wave ‘c’ of the flat [3-3-5] which is an impulse down may overshoot a=c. Infact it almost kissed 2 x c [short of only 0.25 points].

With this Nifty seems to have completed wave ‘2’ as per Elliott Wave analysis. Now the very obvious and violent wave ‘3’ to unfold. Given the recent past experience of multiple resistnace zones near 5180 [5175/5185/5195/5205 etc….] wave ‘3’ may subdivide and may have multiple corrections within it.

Nevertheless this wave has to be swift. If not then it will rise concerns on the wave count and possible downside.



Wave start
Wave End
Length
Ratio
Alt


5095.55
5131.4
35.85




5131.4
5120.8
10.6
0.295676


1
5095.55
5158.85
63.3
TRUE
58.0053
5178.805
2






a
5158.85
5143.5
15.35
0.242496


b
5143.5
5159.9
16.4
106.84%


c
5159.9
5144.55

24.8363
30.7





5135.064
5129.2

3
5129.45


5192.75
5231.869
5295.169










So an Equality [this will ask for wave 5 to be shorter than wave 1/3] to wave 1 will have a target of 5192.75 for wave 3. If wave 3 is 1.618 times wave 1 then it will have a target of 5231.85 or 2.618 times wave 1 then

 will have a target of 5295.15. Let us wait and see which one market chooses.
Nifty Elliott wave analysis for hourly chart:


Nifty Elliott wave analysis for 5 min chart:








Nifty  PivotTable:

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